Sport of Kings Podcast

E358 Kentucky Derby 2026 Preview - Analysis AND Betting Discussion

Episode Summary

This week I am joined by a special guest, Craig Milkowski, developer of the speed and pace figures used in TimeformUS past performances, for a preview of the 2026 Kentucky Derby. The show today, sponsored by AmWager, will focus on finding AND exploiting value in the Kentucky Derby. We will talk about our strongest handicapping opinions and how we might leverage those opinions using optimal betting strategies.

Episode Notes

Timestamp for Sport of Kings Episode 358, sponsored by AmWager. Host Christopher Larmey is joined by a special guest, Craig Milkowski, developer of the speed and pace figures used in TimeformUS past performances, for a preview of the 2026 Kentucky Derby.    

2 – Introduction 

9 – CD Derby Day Wagering Menu

16 – Derby Pace analysis

42 - The Florida Derby horses: Commandment, The Puma, Chief Wallabee

51 - The Arkansas Derby horses: Renegade, Silent Tactic

58 – Blue Grass horses: Further Ado

1:12 - The Santa Anita Derby horses: So Happy, Potente, Intrepido

1:23 - The Jeff Ruby horses: Full Effort

1:25 - The La Derby horses: Emerging Market, Pavlovian, Golden Tempo, Chip Honcho

1:32 - The Virginia Derby & Wood Memorial horses: Incredibolt, Albus, Right to Party

1:38 - The foreign horses: Danon Bourbon, Wonder Dean, Six Speed

1:49 – Bottom line: Best key horses, value plays, and longshots underneath

1:54 – Questions from listeners